05
01/10
Overestimationalism
by John Galt
January 5, 2010
“If passed, this will be the most important piece of social policy since the Social Security Act in the 1930s, and the most important reform of our health care system since Medicare passed in the 1960s.”
-President Obama, Remarks on December 24, 2009 after the passage of the Senate Health Care Reform Bill
The executive order that President Obama signed above, directly from the White House pages by the way, shows the extent of just how far and how much the people in charge in Washington, D.C. are beginning to overplay their hands. The only reason for signing this particular Executive Order is to allow the International Criminal Court in the Hague to issue arrest warrants for American citizens, including soldiers, and bring them to trial using the powers of INTERPOL, as their representatives on our homeland. The President brags about the passage in the first quote above being as important and large as the Social Security Act passed under FDR and completely understands how that has managed to enslave decades of American workers to the idea that they would always have a sufficient retirement thanks to the government, while at the same time overestimating the value of this retirement when the day comes. They failed to understand the concept of monetary degradation where inflation destroys their “retirement program” faster than they can add to it or multiply its effectiveness thanks to the very same government which created Social Security.
This President is overestimating and overplaying his hand and the blow back is about to begin.
Meanwhile, across the aisle, the smug Republicans are content to think they have successfully elicited the support to the Tea Party Movement, the 9-12ers, along with disaffected American Conservatives and they are planning to nominate a lot of the same type of slugs that were rejected in the 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006 and 2008 elections, failing once again to learn the lessons of history. Their lazy leadership is one again trying to use the “we’re not them” as their only serious issue in their national platform. Thus once again, they are engaged in the historic mistake of assuming that conservative and Constitutionalist voters are not of principle, the same mistake they made with the nomination of McCain, and will find that after the 2010 elections, the only gains will be in those areas where true Reagan/Goldwater style conservatives ran for office.
The Republican Party and their allies are overestimating their relevance to this current, critical and possibly final turning point in American history.
The Bubbleconomists and Bubblemedia have been promoting the miraculous recovery which started in the third quarter of 2009 with a rebound in the GDP of 3.5%, oops, er 2.8% , oops er 2.2%. And since the majority of the output generated was via economic stimulus as a result of a massive monetary expansion by the Federal Reserve along with a fiscal stimulus program of which the impact was somewhat overestimated. Now the whispers of how the bull market has returned and just how wonderful investing in stocks and playing the market has returned to the pump and dump crowd trying to hook the ignorant to dump their money out of the money market funds where you have a net negative earnings due to inflation and put it “back to work” in the stock market. Here too, they are overestimating their ability to manage economic affairs as no nation in history has ever engaged in the types of activities nor diversification of its industrial base overseas then ran the massive debts and deficits then to solve it they elect to spend even more as a solution. History does not look kindly on the arrogant, and the arrogance of those who believe in their version of the “science” of economics are about to get a rude awakening that their field of practice is nothing more than a systemic attempt to gauge human behavior and manipulate it, usually resulting in the individual still reigning supreme when all is said and done.
Thus to help these “scientists” I’ll make it easier for them: The United States is bankrupt. The bills are due. We the people are pissed about the institutionalizing of neo-Socialism within our economic system.
The “science” of economics question of the modern day can now be considered SOLVED.
Lastly, I fear that the blow back against the current political class is itself overestimating their importance and needs to understand how these movements end up in history as abject failures. Right now, without a rudder, the perceived goal of the Tea Party, 9-12 and other movements is that of an anti-Obama, anti-Washington, anti-Incumbent movement. This is sort of like trying to kill a grizzly bear with a set of nail clippers. Throughout history there are movements like these in various nations, such as those in Italy that involved organized labor, veterans, industrialists and the Catholic Church. They worked hard to blunt the efforts of the socialist and fascist movements but instead were recruited into lucrative arrangements or positions within the new administration under the leadership of Mussolini to bribe them away from their principles. The only method to prevent the leaders of the various movements from diving into irrelevancy is to seek a common goal and not to allow themselves to be deluded by over estimating their impact on the political scene. Should I be so brash, I recommend that the groups unite under a target that would insure a permanent change in our society that our Founding Fathers could smile upon.
Such as the repeal of the 17th Amendment to the United States Constitution, for starters, to re-impose an original check and balance our wise Founders included in the founding document.
These are some of the examples on my mind this early morning as I contemplate our nation’s future. I coined the term “overestimationalism” as the word to best describe what too many people are thinking and acting as they promote or engage in their agendas, be it political, economic or populist. This is not the time to marginalize nor underestimate the impacts of the historic events of the last decade. In fact we are at the very edge of a cliff where our nation will be irreversibly changed for decades to come barring the unthinkable action of revolution or civil war to reverse the course, and for that I pray those engagements can be avoided. Let us hope that the arrogance of the leaders is checked by the reality of our nation’s history and that the followers emerge soon as the new leaders, before people like those of my name sake are called upon to act.
Otherwise, many of us are ready to shrug and turn our backs on this nation, as our freedoms are stripped away, leaving its citizens to their own fate of enjoying their own vice of self-indulgent Marxist dependency instead of the path of individualism and liberty for all.

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[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Infidel007, johngaltfla.com. johngaltfla.com said: New Entry: Overestimationalism http://johngaltfla.com/blog3/2010/01/05/overestimationalism/ [...]
a deckhand
05.01.10
05:04
The question I have is thus:
I’m more than ready to turn my back, and already have in more ways than most. Your use of ‘shrug’ is most apt, both for your comment and my choices. Where I’m stuck, is where to go? The corruption has seeps through all layers, in all nations. I am not American, but my nation of birth is almost/just as bad. I am a sovereign individual, desiring MINIMAL republican* government. I have pondered long and hard, and can find no productive nation which meets, or even nears what I want. Financial and tax havens don’t count for me as I am neither able nor willing to retire and do nothing. For now I satisfy myself with manual labour, adding to the existing retail overcapacity. Let the looters have their way, ’til there is nothing left to loot. Have I missed somewhere worthwhile? Any thoughts?
* Before anyone jumps on a partisan bent, I remind you that I am not american, so I am obviously not referring to your misleadingly named political party. Look up the definition of republic, or better yet search ‘republic vs democracy’ in your favorite search engine.
nojob
05.01.10
06:56
Agreed!! Show your independence. http://www.cafepress.com/notdeadcantquit
Charlie Bucket
05.01.10
13:01
No Job – Your answer to a thoughtful question is to hawk T Shirts, bumper stickers, and coffee mugs on someone else’s blog?
Deckhand – become an American and do your part to legally resist what is happening in this country. For now be happy that you have manual work and are in a country that (still) enables you to choose to do it.
John Hoffmann
05.01.10
14:13
This is inspirational stuff. I have been searching for an organization that represents me and that I hoped I could add my energy too that would be able to make some headway against the momentum which is plunging our nation deeper into crony-capitalism and eventually a democracy’s final end – total socialism. I have been researching Costa Rica, but I too must continue to earn a living – I am not near retirement, so Costa Rica is out. I couldn’t live off converting my IRA into a coffee farm. There are millionaires so fed up with all governments that they have started a movement to live on the seas: Seasteading Institute. Is the John Birch Society worth joining? Should I call myself a Libertarian or a Constitutionalist?
Scott
05.01.10
14:41
I am glad someone else sees that the 17th was one of the most egregious usurpation of the original document and a immense consolidation of federal power. How the states ratified that is beyond me.
Paul from Texas
05.01.10
15:16
Kim DuToit (a gun blogger who has stopped publishing his blog, much to my regret) has long been fond of calling the Democrats “The Evil Party” and the Republicans “The Stupid Party.” I happen to agree with him wholeheartedly. The Republicans leadership simply doesn’t get it – the very reason for the Tea Parties and Glenn Beck’s 9/12 movement is because of the lack of difference between the parties. It has become Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum.
I am waiting for a moment in this country like Iceland has apparently had: http://market-ticker.org/archives/1817-A-Cautionary-Tale.html
Further, we have just been ripped-off EVEN MORE due to the PPIP program instituted last year: http://market-ticker.org/archives/1816-Where-Are-The-Damn-Handcuffs.html
Until and unless the Republicans actually stand up and loudly state and act like a credible opposition party, not merely opposing Obama, Reid & Pelosi, but stating WHY, in philosophical terms, that cabal is destroying this country, they will not succeed as they otherwise should. The people have wised-up to an extent – no longer can the Republicans piss on us and make us believe it is rain (and I used to proudly call myself a Republican, back when the term actually meant something under Reagan). They should win 70 seats in the House this November, but it’ll be more like 25-30 due to their inside-the-Beltway mentality and actions. Unless…unless someone comes along like Gingrich did in ’94 and proposes a new Contract with America.
The biggest problem with all of this is that without an effective opposition (i.e. one that has itself been co-opted by the temptations of power, and is virtually indistinguishable from the party in power), those in power will remain in power and nothing will change for the better. In other countries such a path has led in one of 2 directions – dictatorship or civil war. If I had to pick one of those, I’d pick the latter – at least then those left would have a chance to live in freedom. Of course, I really don’t want that – we have enough problems without a replay of the 1860′s. I’d really rather that the Republicans act like a true opposition party, instead of Dem-lite. Let’s see; there’s still a little bit of time for them to re-grow the pair that got cut off a few years ago.
Bilbo cuban
05.01.10
15:21
A deckhand and Administrator
We should stop spending on anything that we do not absolutely need, that way we starve the beast, they need money, lets stop giving them the money. Do not buy gold, that is a lie. Some have sugested taking the money out of the big banks (BOAm Chase, Citi,…) taking it to smaller banks. If you can, pay cash, that way we make it easier on taxes for the seller, avoid credit-debit cards.
We need to resist as much as we can, elections won’t change anything, unless all the crooks are voted out, and there is very little chance of that.
By the way I AM AN AMERICAN AND PROUD OF IT, the only reason I have cuban on the nickname is so you can see where I was born.
Bilbo cuban
05.01.10
15:37
Administrator
WHY??
Tim
05.01.10
20:00
I think you are wrong about one thing. People will vote Republican in droves, since a vast majority believe in the Two-party system. Most Independents swing their votes accordingly.
We are the minority and will always be in the minority – the nation is soft and deserves what is coming. I live in California and there is no hope of finding a political candidate in line with my Constitutional beliefs, so I took a different tack.
I am voting only for the most liberal socialist democrats on the ballot. I want them to wreck this country. I want it to happen. I am Nero, Rome burns.
Tim
05.01.10
20:03
Did the states ratify the 17th Amendment. I recall the Federal Reserve and Income Tax laws were never ratified by the states.
I believe that America has not had a representative government for nearly 100 years…the charade is coming to an end.
Bring on dictatorships and oppression – We Americans deserve that more than we deserve freedom.
Administrator
05.01.10
20:06
Conservatives will not vote a straight party line, it will depend on their stance. Some will go lemming and follow Newt Gingrich off the cliff, others have had enough. I pray more have ended their tolerance of the betrayal of the Constitution and will now take a stand.
Otherwise this will not end well for our nation.
templar knight
05.01.10
20:51
Too little, too late, my friends. There is zero chance that this government will get its house in order. The looting, burning, killing and raping would start shortly after those currently feeding at the government trough were told the free ride was over, and that they would have to earn a living.
I wish it were different, but the educational system has been taken over, the government has been taken over, the health care system is about to be taken over, and I could go on and on. My advice, hunker down and prepare to ride out our version of sansculottism. It ain’t gonna be pretty.
azcIII
05.01.10
22:23
Hallelujah! More folks who realize just how damaging the 17th Amendment is! Unfortunately, repeal of it would require action of our corrupt Congress, who will not EVER give up that power to the states. I have read that it was never legally ratified, but the foxes are guarding the henhouse: the very people charged with defending the Constitution are the ones destroying it. They have absolute control over all levers of justice.
So, getting the 17th Amendment or any new amendment proposed for ratification will be nigh impossible…a Constitutional Convention is suicide with these people in positions to influence it…what to do?
Have you read about the Amendment proposed March 2, 1861, just before Lincoln was inaugurated? It was proposed as the 13th, and ratified by two states. Then the south seceded, war broke out and it was forgotten. It would require 36 more states to ratify and make it law.
“ARTICLE THIRTEEN, No amendment shall be made to the Constitution which will authorize or give to Congress the power to abolish or interfere, within any State, with the domestic institutions thereof, including that of persons held to labor or service by the laws of said State.”
It was never ratified…but there is no time limit for it. (The 27th Amendment was originally proposed in 1789 as the 11th). The pro-slavery language is problematic, but wouldn’t slavery or the banning thereof (already codified in most or all states) be considered a domestic institution? Kind of like abortion should be?
This amendment is already legally proposed, requiring no action by Congress and it could not be legally prevented by Congress. Would it accomplish the goal of giving the states instant, Constitutional nullification of all abuses of the Commerce clause and General welfare phrase? I’m no expert, but this might also be used to nullify the 16th and 17th Amendments…
a deckhand
06.01.10
03:56
Charlie Bucket – I will gladly consider moving to one of the united States when they once again represent the freedom and liberty that they once did. Until then… see response to Tim below.
John Hoffman – I consider myself libertarian, but that is a philosophy, not a political affiliation. I believe in liberty above all, and will sacrifice a great deal to ensure that my kids, if not I, have a chance to experience it.
Tim – Burn, baby burn. My main concern is staying far enough from the fire that My family doesn’t get burned. If it clarifies my position at all, my display name is shortened. Ragnar’s Deckhand. I should be so honored as to play an active role in the giving the moochers the world they ask for. For now, I settle for the passive, and give them nothing.
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07.01.10
02:09
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