By John Galt
July 6, 2011
Despite the belief that all is well and the election will pacify the populace, the collapsing Egyptian economy along with discontent about Arab policy towards Israel and the West has brought the people back into the streets of Cairo, this time with very little coverage from the U.S. networks or commentary from the Obama administration. The story from Reuters/IRIN this morning, More Protests in Cairo’s Tahir Square, highlights the anger and frustration of the masses after months of corruption and misdeeds by the military and those protecting the old regime.
As long as the status quo remains, when the elections occur this fall, the Muslim Brotherhood will gain substantial power in that nation and shift Egypt from a Euro-American sphere of influence and more to the Ruso-Sino sphere along with the radical Islamists which will not only act as a buffer against the West but encourage other nations in the MENA region to break their chains of Saudi and Western influence. The GCC nations including Saudi Arabia might project a happy face at the prospect of democratic elections, the reality is the news of a success by the Islamists would trigger a wave of euphoria among the poor in those countries, encouraged by the various religious leaders who are disgusted with the interaction and integration of Western ideas into their societies.
The Egyptian people recognize the problems with the current interim government and the hollow promises being made, as outlined by this statement from the article above:
“It is easy to see the lack of achievement anywhere in this country,” Mohamed Mursi, a 28-year-old protester who has been camping in the square for a week, told IRIN. The government and the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces [SCAF] have only made empty promises so far, he said.
Thus far the attempts of the military council to purchase the anger of those families of the people killed during the first wave of protests has been a failure and as the economy continues to contract and decline at a faster pace, the people will revert back to the religious leaders they know and abandon the secularists. This challenge is presenting opportunities for members of the military sympathetic to the Muslim Brotherhood to emerge as new leaders in the mode of an “Islamist Nasser” working against the old regime would create a dilemma and problem the House of Saud and the House of Obama could never have anticipated nor planned to deal with.
In other words, Jimmy Carter redux.