The North Korean Purge Could Start a Regional War

 

by John Galt
December  17, 2013 05:30 ET

KIM_JONG_UNS_UNCLEB4EXECUTION

The recent execution of Kim Jong Un’s uncle several days ago has far greater implications than just the regional distrust which has now been expanded from Beijing to Tokyo; it is of such a dramatic shift in policy that indeed, the threat of a rapid, decisive, regional war could begin without warning. How severe is the concern in South Korea? Watch the following video via Reuters posted at the PBS website on the story to get a clue and see if this reminds anyone of the 1930’s and Germany; or worse!

 

The story declares the severity of the problem without any question: Regional war is now a distinct possibility. From the PBS story, North Korea warns ‘war comes without an advertisement,’ putting South Korea on high alert:

The unpredictability of North Korea’s next move has prompted South Korean President Park Guen Hye, The New York Times reports, to order the country’s military and police on high alert, in case North Korea attempts “armed provocations.”

In other words, there is a feeling that this is not the normal cycle during the period of purge, assassination, and retribution that the typical North Korean regime ascends to when consolidating power.In fact, they have started dropping leaflets according to the South Korean news service, The Chosun Ilbo:

N.Korea Threatens S.Korean Marines with ‘Annihilation’

From the article:

North Korea on Monday floated hundreds of propaganda leaflets into South Korea threatening the “annihilation” of the 6th Marine Brigade on Baeknyeong Island, the Joint Chiefs of Staff said.

N_KOREAN_PROPAGANDA_LEAFLETSjgflatn

The burst of belligerence comes less than a week after the execution of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un’s uncle Jang Song-taek, who was seen as a moderate.

The previous day, the North Korean propaganda website, Uriminzokkiri also threatened to “mercilessly throw a battering ram” at the South Korean government, calling its response to the execution of Jang a “political provocation.”

Hundreds of the leaflets were found around the island on Monday morning, according to the JCS.

The North called the 6th Marine Brigade the “first target to annihilate,” adding, “Means of strike with unprecedented destructive power have already set their sights on the target and are ready to fire.”

Another leaflet said, “Baeknyeong Island will turn into a huge tomb.” Some leaflets featured a picture of a burned skull and bones.

But a military spokesman said “no special movements” of North Korean forces have been detected either on the coast close to South Korea’s northwestern most islands or anywhere else.

“We’ve been keeping watch on those areas as the North has consistently augmented troops and equipment there over the past years,” the spokesman added.

Despite the lack of action or apparent visible movement by the North Koreans, the reality is that the United States and even China are deeply concerned by the recent flurry of actions by Pyongyang. Yonhap News highlighted this in a briefing tonight:

China FM sees ‘important change’ in N. Korea after Jang’s execution

BEIJING, Dec. 16 (Yonhap) — Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said Monday that he has observed an “important change” in recent developments in North Korea after the stunning execution of leader Kim Jong-un’s uncle.

When asked by a reporter about the recent developments in North Korea, Wang answered, “I think that an important change is taking place in the situation of North Korea.” Wang made the remarks after giving a keynote speech at a forum in Beijing, hosted by the China Public Diplomacy Association.

Translation? China has no clue what their former satellite Communist ally is up to and everyone should be concerned. The concern is now reflected with the ROK military being placed on high alert due to the instability in the north:

South Korea has put its military forces on alert, with its president warning of “reckless provocations” following the execution of Kim Jong-Un’s uncle last week.

In a meeting with top defence and national security officials, South Korea’s president Park Geun-Hye discussed the “grave and unpredictable” situation with the North.

“When we look at the recent series of developments in North Korea, it is uncertain which direction the situation will go,” she said.

“We also can’t rule out the possibility of contingencies such as reckless provocations,” she said, urging the military to step up vigilance near the heavily-fortified border with the North.

A spokesman revealed president Park urged officials to strengthen their joint defence posture with the United States and to continue sharing intelligence with relevant countries.

The extract above is from the article via the Australian Press website story:

South Korean military on alert following North Korean execution of Kim Jong-Un’s uncle, Jang Song-Thaek

In the end the threats are thrice:

1. A limited conventional exchange of armaments resulting in minor damage to Seoul, and relatively low casualties for U.S. soldiers stationed as a buffer. This would be designed to inflict just enough  economic damage via a limited conflict to force China and the West back to the negotiating table.

2. A full blown attack on all disputed territories and islands around the South Korean perimeter for the purpose of attempting to intimidate the U.S. and South Korea into surrendering territory for peace.

3. The terrifying suicide option. While most American, Japanese , and South Korean planners dismiss this as a low probability event, the fact remains that a full blown attack by the North Koreans using ground and strategic forces would overwhelm the defense capabilities of the region and eventually result in the nuclear annihilation of Seoul and Tokyo. The results would destroy the United States and unfortunately for the Nork supporters, a crippling of the world economy for at least twenty years.

If at any time one needs to be concerned about the instability in North Korea, this is it because it would appear that China is losing control of its client state.

 

 

 

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