I have re-posted this story this evening as it is quite prescient and apparently was somewhat accurate except for the fact that I did not expect the Saudis to support a former Al-Qaeda group to achieve Sunni superiority in Iraq and thus quite possibly set the trip wire for a major world war…-JG
By John Galt
August 3, 2011
On the August 2, 2011 edition of the Glenn Beck radio program, he began a postulation that World War Three would begin in Libya and the distractions created by that might be sufficient to change the balance of power in the world. The theory might sound justifiable considering the situation on the ground there but the facts do not bear out any logical reason for a major world conflict to start in that country. The conflict is basically of a tribal nature fought by a disorganized group of rebels composed of enemies of the Qaddafi family and tribe and the oppression inflicted on the citizens of that tiny nation for decades. The lack of true international interests in the civil war there plus the lack of strategic importance to the powers in the Persian Gulf region make the small conflict in Libya a poor candidate for a war which engulfs the entire world however.
Unfortunately for the United States, Israel, Europe, Russia, and China, there is a region of the world where conflict has been active for decades and the largest world powers do have a strategic and tactical interest. The conflict has been hot in the nation of Iraq for decades now, be it in the form of Gulf War I or the low intensity guerrilla conflicts between the various ethnic and religious groups supported by the region’s powers. The problem that is now revealing itself to the mainstream is one that has been simmering for decades and thanks to the coming withdrawal of the U.S. forces there, will become extremely hot in very short order.
(Click on the map to enlarge/reduce size)
The map displayed above provides the religious background for the start of the conflict but the intervention of the world powers and their interests in Iraq stretch far beyond the borders of this colonialist created artificial nation. Despite the disposing of the Saddam Hussein regime in the last effort, the ethnic and religious conflicts have never been resolved and were only tamed by the brutality of his regime. Under the U.S. occupation the establishment of stability, law and order was a given despite our political correct approach and horrid rules of engagement. Despite the incessant attacks on our soldiers which continues up to the posting of this day, our insane version of “Vietnamization” of the Iraqi people yielded little success as the attempts failed to consider the centuries old religious conflicts consuming that region.
Fast forward to the current situation and consider the implications of a potential withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region:
– Iranian support will move from covert to overt support of Shia tribal and political leaders in the East and South of the nation.
– Kurdish political realities will create open conflict for control of the Kirkuk oil producing region.
– Sunni weakness exposed by the exit of the international peacekeepers and influences will force the Saudi hand and direct intervention to protect their border regions and religious allies in Iraq and probably Jordan.
– Turkey will no longer have a reason to show restraint in its dealings with the Kurdish rebels and opens the door for their military to not only eradicate the problem but occupy the oil rich region which has been a historic desire since they lost the territory after World War I.
– China and Russia have historic ties to many of the players in the region and would take an active role in supporting the apparent winners of any conflict between the region’s powers to monopolize the oil resources and drive the Western powers from Asia and the Middle East for decades to come.
This opens the potential for a major conflict to erupt in the historic region of Babylon, where the world’s major religions are all within several hours flying time and the use of proxies to attack allies and enemies alike will be the standard operating procedure. The Iraqis have a somewhat large group of possible sleepers inside the United States as Sadam then radical Islamist groups in Iraq worked tirelessly after the two major wars to send protagonists across our southern border and create secret terrorist cells. Add in the threats from Libyans, Pakistani, Iranian, Saudi Wahhabi sleepers, etc. and the formula is in place inside our own nation to experience the war on our soil, not just witness the carnage overseas.
The larger problem facing citizens of Western countries is that a war might well be needed and viewed as tolerable in that region as the economic deterioration accelerates in the months and years ahead. A conflict with an acceptable loss rate and minor damage within the home nations would promote economic growth and enable further imposition of strict police state rules to ensure a totally controlled series of nation states under almost dictatorial centralized control would evolve. In a period of major warfare where terrorists inflict casualties on civilians the natural evolution is a tightening of freedoms and dedication of economic resources to the conflict overseas. This formula would simply accelerate many of the plans and desires of the technocrats and globalist elites who reject the ideals of pluralism, populism, and Constitutional Republics as an archaic form of governance.
An issue may arise in such a miscalculation, however, as attacks on any particular group at the behest of another, such as attacks on Iran or Turkey in defense of Saudi Arabia, could well inflame the remainder of the world’s Muslims and broaden the war in scope and size to a point where controls and isolation to one region would indeed bring about the undesired impact on nations which did not wish to participate and expand such a conflict. This mistake, similar to those which caused the first two world wars to expand far beyond the original preconceived concept the world powers of those eras envisioned, is due to be repeated again as the horrors of war for the majority of civilized countries is now several generations removed. We can only pray that the societies come to their senses and avoid such a conflict in the Middle East but the House of Saud, Iran, and Turkey are preparing for such an event spreading from Syria to Pakistan and Algiers to Afghanistan.
Let us hope common sense returns and the American government divests its interests in the region to insure our nation’s ability to survive as a Constitutional Republic intact, yet based on recent events it would appear that this will not be the case. Our nation is ruled by fools now who fail to understand the complexities of the region, its past, or the implications of a wider conflict which would create global conflict of a scale unseen in world history.
“Imagine that leader of all the enemy, in that great plain of Babylon, sitting on a sort of throne of smoking flame, a horrible and terrifying sight. Watch him calling together countless devils, to despatch them into different cities till the whole world is covered, forgetting no province or locality, no class or single individual.”
-Saint Ignatius of Loyola, Spiritual Exercises (1548)