by John Galt
June 15, 2016 19:45 ET
Sigh…now I really miss the 1980’s.
Not for the reason anyone might think as the women were fun, the music better, and the U.S. military was recovering from it’s Jimmy Carter induced slumber. As an American citizen in that era, the threat was not from some Jihadi Joe coming to the good old U.S.A. on a student visa or refugee program here to rape or kill my wife or shoot up night clubs. In fact by the late 1980’s the biggest threat to our existence was a nuclear exchange with the Russians as highlighted in the movies and culture of the era.
Fast forward to the news I posted yesterday:
No one, and I repeat no one, thinks that the United States and Russia will engage in a nuclear exchange of the volume or voracity of what was planned in the 1980’s. Then again, the precision of the weaponry and devastating effects of a war between NATO and modern Russia, not the USSR, has seriously been war planned or considered beyond military colleges or certain segments of the Pentagon. The average citizen has been convinced by a decade of propaganda from Washington, D.C. that our military is supreme to all others in the world because we spend more than the next 20 nations on earth combined, blah, blah, blah.
The problem is that our military has been hollowed out by the Obama regime and turned into a gigantic social experiment for political correctness and ruined by greedy, inept military contractors working in concert with bureaucrats and generals inside the Pentagon who view this as an opportunity for personal profit, not our nation’s safety or defense.
Need an example? Check this article out from The National Interest:
Unfortunately, today’s Army is getting significantly smaller and is struggling to accomplish the missions needed to keep America safe. Recently, Gen. Daniel B. Allyn, the second in command of the U.S. Army, spoke at The Heritage Foundation about the challenges facing today’s Army.
Soldiers are still on the ground in Afghanistan, are back in Iraq, and are in high demand in Europe. Can today’s Army meet these demands? The Army faces serious readiness challenges, with only one-third of Army brigades ready for combat and a rising aviation mishap rate.
Unfortunately, size and readiness are not the only challenges facing the Army. As Allyn explained at Heritage, budget cuts have forced the Army to choose between readiness (training the troops and maintaining the equipment) and modernization (buying new equipment to improve capabilities).
Allyn also explained that approximately 100,000 soldiers today can’t be sent into combat. That means that the Army has about 380,000 active duty soldiers that it can deploy for operations. And about 162,000 of those soldiers are currently supporting operations. In effect, almost half of our deployable Army is engaged in operations today. That means that the Army has very little ability to respond to a new crisis.
Basically speaking, if a large conventional war against China or Russia were to begin, or God forbid both at the same time, the United States would probably lose rapidly barring the use of nuclear weapons with in the first 10-20 days of the conflict.
Just two months ago, the Fox News Channel highlighted this problem in this story about USMC Air Corps Stations where spare parts were being scavenged to keep planes in the air:
Meanwhile, the US Air Force isn’t fairing much better (also via FNC):
Then there is the US Navy’s aviation readiness, again, excerpted from a May 26, 2016 article via The National Interest:
The U.S. Navy’s strike fighter squadrons are in dire straits with only one out of three Boeing F/A-18 Hornet airframes being ready for war at any given time. In order to meet its operational requirements, the service is routinely raiding squadrons that are not deployed to secure enough jets for the air wings at are about to go to sea.
“If I have to ensure that I have ten like strike fighters are in a single squadron on that aircraft carrier and they need the same capability, I will tax units that are back here at home,” Adm. Philip Davidson, commander of U.S. Fleet Forces Command testified before the House Armed Services Committee on May 26. “If I need ten forward, I do routinely operate four aircraft in squadrons in the rear.”
Within the Navy, only one out of four Hornets is fully mission capable. “That one in four is currently deployed,” Capt. Randy Stearns, Commodore of Strike Fighter Wing Atlantic told the committee. “The other three in four are the aircraft that are back in the maintenance phase or going through another FRP [fleet response plan].”
Translation: The United States does not have enough fully operational aircraft to defend the fleet against a major conventional conflict such as an outbreak of war between NATO and Russia. And if anyone thinks the fleet is in any better shape, this story from May via Defense News should serve as a major concern:
The Navy has an $848 million shortfall in its current operations and maintenance accounts, a service official said, and while there will be no impact to forces already deployed, continuing problems “would likely delay some deployments.”
As the Navy moves through the fiscal year’s third quarter, officials are preparing to take several actions to limit 2016 spending:
- Deferring overhauls on four surface ships and one submarine from the fourth quarter of fiscal 2016 into fiscal 2017’s first quarter;
- “descoping” or deferring continuous maintenance for the assault ships Makin Island and America amphibious ready groups and the Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike group;
- Restricting Carrier Air Wing 1 (CVW-1) flying hours, including imposing a four-month no-fly period, and limiting other flying hour program costs; and
- deferring “various other contracts.”
The Carl Vinson, America and Makin Island recently completed major overhauls and are expected to deploy in the coming year. CVW-1, on the other hand, completed a full deployment in 2015, is now in a “maintenance phase,” and is not expected to deploy again until 2019.
The Navy also notes that a decision announced May 2 to extend the current deployment of the Harry S. Truman carrier strike group by one month to combat ISIS will require an additional $91 million in operations spending.
Pushing the five ship overhauls into next year, the Navy official noted, will add to 2017’s scheduling problems and increase required funding by $473 million.
Think about this folks. The United States Pentagon and NATO announced an expansion of US forces into the Baltics and Poland while at the same time we are barely capable of keeping enough ships and planes on active duty to supply and maintain those forces should an outbreak of war occur. The United States does not only have enough spare parts to keep currently active units functioning at minimal requirements, the parts to maintain aircraft during a major conflict are not available which raises the doubt about America having the ammunition available to fight a high-intensity conventional conflict for more than 7-14 days.
Add in the fact that many of the sub-components used in American military hardware is assembled overseas and thus vulnerable to enemy attack in transit and the old World War II theory of “Rosie the Riveter” and our domestic manufacturing capabilities coming to the rescue and saving our forces is a hopium induced pipe dream.
President Obama has managed to do what the Soviet Union, Adolf Hitler, and Jimmy Carter could not:
Setting up our brave men and women (and whatever they call those in-between) for a massive defeat should a major World War occur, thus providing a scapegoat for the fat cats in Washington to lay the defeat upon.
It is in my honest opinion we will lose 60% of our aviation capacity, as will Russia, on the first day of a conventional conflict with Russia should war break out in Eastern Europe. Unfortunately it would appear that this is not only the desire, but plan for this administration to leave America bankrupt, defeated, and at the mercy of a globalist cabal determined to destroy our Constitution and enslave the citizens of our nation for decades to come until every dime of our debts are repaid.
For reference on how bad I think the next conflict could become, I refer back to my original article in 2015: