Tropical Storm Julia Forms over Land Heads into Georgia

by John Galt
September 14, 2016 05:30 ET

In what is a very rare event, Tropical Storm Julia has formed over land over the state of Florida overnight and started moving north into Georgia where it should rain out near Savannah. This rare occurrence happens less than 2% of the time in tropical cyclone history since records have been kept (per TWC) and certainly speaks to the bizarre hurricane season we are experiencing thus far.

This will be the only first update on this storm with the usual package as it does not post a major threat as far as wind goes and will simply become a major rain event for Southeast Georgia and parts of Florida.

09.14.16 17:00 ET – UPDATE

Whoops…I take back what I said. This storm took a turn out to sea and looks like it has a shot at getting stronger without any serious steering currents to push it inland or out to sea.

 

 

 

 

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER LATEST ADVISORY

==========================================================

000
WTNT31 KNHC 150838
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
500 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2016

...JULIA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 79.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia
was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 79.6 West.  The
depression is drifting toward the east near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A
slow and erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days,
and the track forecast keeps Julia meandering offshore of the
Georgia and southern South Carolina coastlines into Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Julia is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts
of less than an inch across coastal sections of South Carolina and
southeast North Carolina through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
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