Tropical Storm Karl: Not looking so good Now but Still Projected to become a Hurricane

by John Galt
September 16, 2016 04:55 ET

This is one of those storms everyone should watch closely especially as it gets close to 60 degrees west longitude as it has all of the makings of a powerful Cape Verde hurricane in the classic sense. In the mean time, here is the usual advisory package until the NHC determines the exact path of the storm next week.

LATEST NHC ADVISORY

==========================================

000
WTNT32 KNHC 181453
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 18 2016

...KARL MOVING WESTWARD...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 43.4W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1950 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 43.4 West.  Karl is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A westward to
west-northwestward motion with some increase in forward speed is
expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Karl is forecast to begin strengthening later tonight or on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
%d bloggers like this: