HURRICANE SEASON 2016

Heads Up Costa Rica: Hurrican Otto Strengthens to Cat 2 Just Before Landfall (Updated)

by John Galt November 22, 2016 21:00 ET 11.24.16 07:30 ET – UPDATE Just a quick note as I hope everyone has taken precautions in Costa Rica and Nicaragua as Hurricane Otto has intensified to a Category 2 hurricane just before landfall later today. Let’s hope that there is little to no loss of life with this one. Latest NHC advisory is below. *********************** Sorry for being late posting this but with family coming in and my preps for Turkey Day being focused on food, getting my antennas for the old…

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Hurricane Matthew: 10.9 05:00 ET – FINAL UPDATE – Post-Tropical Cyclone is FINALLY moving Out to Sea

by John Galt September 29, 2016 16:25 ET 10.09.16 – 07:45 ET – UPDATE It has been a while since we’ve had a storm which has cause this much of a problem for this many people and all I have to say is GOOD RIDDANCE. This will be the final update as it is now a post-tropical or hybrid storm and moving out to sea. 10.08.16 – 07:15 ET – UPDATE Newest advisory is below. The storm has weakened but the tornado risk increased as WECT just reported: Original TORNADO WARNING…



Tropical Storm Karl: Not looking so good Now but Still Projected to become a Hurricane

by John Galt September 16, 2016 04:55 ET This is one of those storms everyone should watch closely especially as it gets close to 60 degrees west longitude as it has all of the makings of a powerful Cape Verde hurricane in the classic sense. In the mean time, here is the usual advisory package until the NHC determines the exact path of the storm next week. LATEST NHC ADVISORY ========================================== 000 WTNT32 KNHC 181453 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100…


Tropical Storm Julia Forms over Land Heads into Georgia

by John Galt September 14, 2016 05:30 ET In what is a very rare event, Tropical Storm Julia has formed over land over the state of Florida overnight and started moving north into Georgia where it should rain out near Savannah. This rare occurrence happens less than 2% of the time in tropical cyclone history since records have been kept (per TWC) and certainly speaks to the bizarre hurricane season we are experiencing thus far. This will be the only first update on this storm with the usual package as it…


TS Hermine: 09.03 1300 – Tropical Storm Warnings From Long Island to Boston

by John Galt August 28, 2016 16:55 ET 09.02.16 – 18:30 ET – Just ugh. 09.02.16 – 17:00 ET – Boy oh boy oh boy. If this recent model run of the ECMWF (Euro) confirms, life is going to be VERY interesting in NJ and New York City: Tropical Storm Warnings have now been extended up to Sandy Hook, NJ with watches continuing for New York City and Long Island. So far the forecast does not anticipate the storm turning back into NJ/NY but the model runs from 1 week ago…


Hurricane Lester: Hurricane Watch Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:30 ET 09.01.16 21:00 ET – As the West Coast of Florida gets lashed by Hurricane Hermine, the Hawaiian Islands are preparing for a possible double strike this time from Hurricane Lester. If the track verifies the storm’s strong side will stay away from the islands. More info in tomorrow’s updates. ********************** This has to be the weirdest hurricane season I’ve seen in a while and that’s after surviving 2004-2005 in Florida. The “m” letter storm Madeline will hit the big island of Hawaii within…


Hurricane Madeline: Hurricane WARNING Up for the Big Island of Hawaii

  by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:20 ET 08.30.16 20:35 ET – Just a heads up as storm number 1 approaches the big island of Hawaii as a strong Category 2 hurricane. Good luck out there all my friends! ************************************ 08.29.16 15:35 ET – FYI upgraded to a hurricane today… ******************************** The Central Pacific Hurricane Center is issuing advisories for Tropical Storm Madeline which appears to be heading directly for the big island and will drop large amounts of rain, especially in the mountainous regions. Some meteorologists have speculated that…


Tropical Depression #8 Forms: Tropical Storm Warnings up for NC Coast

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:40 ET 08.30.16 20:30 ET – No further updates as this storm is no longer a threat to the U.S. ************************************************************* It’s now a race against time. Will Mother Nature let North Carolina get the storm called Hermine or Ian. My money is on Hermine which appears to be getting its act together faster than Invest 99L which is not helping our rain situation down here in Florida. That is too much rain lately when adding the moisture and winds to an already soaked southern…


Hurricane Gaston (only update): Another Fish, Sorry Charlie

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:10 ET This will be my only update on Hurricane Gaston as it is a fish destined to disturb only shipping and fish. Here is the usual package: LATEST UPDATE FROM NHC ========================================= 000 WTNT32 KNHC 281435 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 …GASTON NOW WITH 105 MPH WINDS… SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————– LOCATION…30.5N 54.8W ABOUT 600 MI…970 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H…


Tropical Storm Fiona Forms in Eastern Atlantic

by John Galt August 17, 2016 15:30 ET NOTE: Barring a sudden shift in the forward motion, intensity, or forecast this will be the only update on this storm after the 1700 ET NHC advisory. If this becomes a threat to Bermuda, I will start updating it at that time. Right now, this storm has ‘fish’ written all over it, but here is the usual package of models, etc: NHC ADVISORIES ================================================= 000 WTNT31 KNHC 172040 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FIONA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062016…


Hurricane Earl: 5th Named Storm Comes Ashore in Belize

by John Galt August 2, 2016 20:30 ET 08/04 19:45 ET – With the storm now dying out over Mexico, the update below from the NHC will be the final update on this thread. And into the busy part of the Hurricane season we go. Hopefully most of these storms remain Tropical Storms or minimal Hurricanes but don’t kid yourself, they can do quite a bit of damage also. I shall keep this thread ongoing and updated until the storm approaches final landfall in Mexico or Belize as this storm poses…


06.20 Tropical Storm Danielle to Form in Bay of Campeche

by John Galt June 20, 2016 05:00 ET FYI, since there is little time for this storm to intensify and it is making landfall as a minimal Tropical Storm later today, this will be the only update on this storm. As of this update it is a Tropical Depression but per the NHC will become a storm before landfall after lunch Central Time today, thus the title.   ************************************* NHC ADVISORIES 000 WTNT34 KNHC 200849 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 400…


Tropical Storm Colin Advisory Thread: 06.07 0500 – SC/NC Your Turn

by John Galt June 5, 2016 11:05 ET You just have to love it when you finish updated then drift over to Accuweather to see this as your forecast tomorrow: UPDATE 06.05.16 18:00 ET: Recon has found sustained winds which justify an upgrade to  Tropical Storm Colin by the NHC. This is the earliest time in recorded history that a third Tropical Storm/Hurricane has ever formed since records have been kept by the US Government. UPDATED ADVISORY FROM NHC: 000 WTNT63 KNHC 052135 TCUAT3 TROPICAL STORM COLIN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS…


Tropical Storm Bonnie Update Thread: Sunday Landfall as a Depression

by John Galt May 29, 2016 08:05 ET(UPDATED) *** FINAL UPDATE SUNDAY 5/29 0800 ET *** Since the storm is making landfall as a disorganized mess of a Tropical Depression there is no major threat other than flash flooding in the Carolinas. No further updates on this storm will be posted **************** Welcome to Hurricane Season 2016! As usual, I’ll try to keep up with the various updates from the NHC and model sources to keep everyone abreast of the situation. Right now this is Tropical Depression #2 officially however projected…


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