NHC

Hurricane Matthew: 10.9 05:00 ET – FINAL UPDATE – Post-Tropical Cyclone is FINALLY moving Out to Sea

by John Galt September 29, 2016 16:25 ET 10.09.16 – 07:45 ET – UPDATE It has been a while since we’ve had a storm which has cause this much of a problem for this many people and all I have to say is GOOD RIDDANCE. This will be the final update as it is now a post-tropical or hybrid storm and moving out to sea. 10.08.16 – 07:15 ET – UPDATE Newest advisory is below. The storm has weakened but the tornado risk increased as WECT just reported: Original TORNADO WARNING…


Tropical Storm Karl: Not looking so good Now but Still Projected to become a Hurricane

by John Galt September 16, 2016 04:55 ET This is one of those storms everyone should watch closely especially as it gets close to 60 degrees west longitude as it has all of the makings of a powerful Cape Verde hurricane in the classic sense. In the mean time, here is the usual advisory package until the NHC determines the exact path of the storm next week. LATEST NHC ADVISORY ========================================== 000 WTNT32 KNHC 181453 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100…


Tropical Storm Julia Forms over Land Heads into Georgia

by John Galt September 14, 2016 05:30 ET In what is a very rare event, Tropical Storm Julia has formed over land over the state of Florida overnight and started moving north into Georgia where it should rain out near Savannah. This rare occurrence happens less than 2% of the time in tropical cyclone history since records have been kept (per TWC) and certainly speaks to the bizarre hurricane season we are experiencing thus far. This will be the only first update on this storm with the usual package as it…


TS Hermine: 09.03 1300 – Tropical Storm Warnings From Long Island to Boston

by John Galt August 28, 2016 16:55 ET 09.02.16 – 18:30 ET – Just ugh. 09.02.16 – 17:00 ET – Boy oh boy oh boy. If this recent model run of the ECMWF (Euro) confirms, life is going to be VERY interesting in NJ and New York City: Tropical Storm Warnings have now been extended up to Sandy Hook, NJ with watches continuing for New York City and Long Island. So far the forecast does not anticipate the storm turning back into NJ/NY but the model runs from 1 week ago…


Hurricane Lester: Hurricane Watch Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:30 ET 09.01.16 21:00 ET – As the West Coast of Florida gets lashed by Hurricane Hermine, the Hawaiian Islands are preparing for a possible double strike this time from Hurricane Lester. If the track verifies the storm’s strong side will stay away from the islands. More info in tomorrow’s updates. ********************** This has to be the weirdest hurricane season I’ve seen in a while and that’s after surviving 2004-2005 in Florida. The “m” letter storm Madeline will hit the big island of Hawaii within…


Tropical Depression #8 Forms: Tropical Storm Warnings up for NC Coast

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:40 ET 08.30.16 20:30 ET – No further updates as this storm is no longer a threat to the U.S. ************************************************************* It’s now a race against time. Will Mother Nature let North Carolina get the storm called Hermine or Ian. My money is on Hermine which appears to be getting its act together faster than Invest 99L which is not helping our rain situation down here in Florida. That is too much rain lately when adding the moisture and winds to an already soaked southern…


Hurricane Gaston (only update): Another Fish, Sorry Charlie

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:10 ET This will be my only update on Hurricane Gaston as it is a fish destined to disturb only shipping and fish. Here is the usual package: LATEST UPDATE FROM NHC ========================================= 000 WTNT32 KNHC 281435 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 …GASTON NOW WITH 105 MPH WINDS… SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————– LOCATION…30.5N 54.8W ABOUT 600 MI…970 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H…


Tropical Storm Bonnie Update Thread: Sunday Landfall as a Depression

by John Galt May 29, 2016 08:05 ET(UPDATED) *** FINAL UPDATE SUNDAY 5/29 0800 ET *** Since the storm is making landfall as a disorganized mess of a Tropical Depression there is no major threat other than flash flooding in the Carolinas. No further updates on this storm will be posted **************** Welcome to Hurricane Season 2016! As usual, I’ll try to keep up with the various updates from the NHC and model sources to keep everyone abreast of the situation. Right now this is Tropical Depression #2 officially however projected…


HURRICANE Joaquin: It’s a Fish, Buh, Bye!

by John Galt September 29, 2015 05:00 ET 10/03/15 16:00 ET: 17:00 ET – 09.29 – Let’s hope this new track verifies as it indicates it might turn into a fish… —————————————————————————————- Here we go again gang. Let’s hope this does not turn into a Sandy type of situation but this is the time of year for that type of storms and the intensity forecasting is very imprecise. At this point in time however, if the short term models are any indication, there is a chance that once the storm turns…


07.04.14 Hurricane Arthur: My Only Yawnadvisory

by John Galt July 4, 2014 11:20 ET Gang, I apologize for not having my usual posting of pics, warnings, doom, death, destruction, or other terror from a, gasp, “hurricane” but my lack of activity this week was due to some meat world concerns about my economic future thus kept me from my appointed rounds. Hurricane Arthur sucked for those impacted by the storm but it was not the big deal the mainstream media attempted to make it out to be this time. The next storm, that could be another story….


Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forms near Puerto Rico

  by John Galt September  5, 2013 05:15 ET With the development of Tropical Storm Gabrielle overnight I feel that I must post this advisory thread at least for my readers in Puerto Rico and Bermuda as it would appear that is the path of the storm at this time. Since it is not expected to reach hurricane strength nor impact the United States, this will be the only update provided. All graphics will update themselves automatically. 000 WTNT32 KNHC 050840 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL…


Tropical Storm Chantal: STORM CANCEL

 UPDATED July 10, 2013 20:55 ET: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 102035 TCPAT3 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 500 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 …CHANTAL DEGENERATED INTO A WAVE… …COULD STILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS… SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…16.5N 73.7W ABOUT 230 MI…370 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 260 MI…415 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 23 MPH…37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1012 MB…29.88…


Tropical Storm Andrea Forms in Gulf of Mexico-6/6 0500 Advisory added 60 mph Winds

  by John Galt June 6, 2013 21:00 ET This will probably be the final update on this storm as by this time tomorrow it will probably be extra-tropical and not much of a storm by the time it reaches the Mid-Atlantic states….2000 ET advisory posted at the bottom of this posting… Breaking news 6/6 1730 ET: The NHC has renumbered the Invest and declared it  Tropical Storm Andrea. We’ll update these pages at new data is posted by the US Navy and National Hurricane Center. Look for warnings beyond the…


Tropical Storm Isaac: Heads up AL, MS, and NEW ORLEANS!!! (Updated 08.26 1100 ET)

by John Galt August 21, 2012 17:55 ET   UPDATED 08.26.12 11:15 ET   Ruh-Roh! New Orleans is now firmly entrenched in the cone of death and if this sucker gets its act together, watch out! I hope all of my friends, especially Doc who survived Katrina in Mississippi are able to hunker down as this storm could intensify rapidly. Full update below and sorry gang, better y’all than us, we really don’t need the rain along with the wind!!!   Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell.com just tweeted a concern about 1947:…


Tropical Storm Debby: T.S. Warnings/Watches Issued for Florida Panhandle/West Coast

  by John Galt June 23, 2012 16:15 ET   6/25 10:55 ET: AND NOW, I’m in the Tropical Storm Warning area. But this is a gully washer where rain is just dumping on us non-stop.   6/24 16:45: At least NOW I feel like I’m part of the Hurricane Season with the Tropical Storm Watch extended throughout my area. See details below with the latest advisory packages.   6/24 1500 ET: I’m just sayin’….     6/24 10:59 ET- It would appear the GFS model is winning. The West Coast…


10/27 0500 Hurricane Rina Update: Storm Cancel

By John Galt October 27, 2011 05:30 And that’s why these suckers are so hard to forecast. Cancun gets wet. The U.S. gets zilch. Storm cancel. This will be the final update on this thread barring a radical shift in the storm. October 26, 2011 17:45 Needless to say, tons of rain, a breeze (30-60 mph) and alcohol will not stop Fantasy Fest. In fact, it might enhance it. Models are now updated below, it has fizzled somewhat so let’s pray no one gets hurt. October 26, 2011 07:50 So far,…


9/21 Tropical Storm Ophelia: A weak storm but worth watching

By John Galt September 23, 05:15 She looks like she’s fading fast and no further updates after this morning’s advisory will be posted on this storm. September 22, 2011 05:00 She looks like she’s trying to get more organized but shear is strong and the probability of a recurve out to sea via Bermuda is growing stronger. We’ll check this again tonight at 17:00 ET.   September 21, 2011 05:00 This one is forecast to be impacted by massive shear so it may not amount to much of anything if it…


Tropical Storm Maria: Getting her Act Together finally

By John Galt September 12, 2011 08:55 This will be the final update. Advisory is below. Storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. September 11, 2011 08:30 She’s getting her act together but after a trip through Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands it does not look like it will be a threat except possibly to Bermuda as a Category 1 hurricane. September 10, 2011 08:00 Latest report is looking like this could become a fizzle soon so let’s up. Discussion and public advisory updated below. September…


Tropical Storm Nate: Soon to sip some Tequila?

By John Galt September 9, 20111 05:10 Nate is starting to look better and appears to be a Mexico storm thus this will be my last update unless there is a dramatic shift in the models or upper air patterns.   September 8, 2011 15:45 This storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. despite the apparent weird model run amok during the last run. Updates will only occur once daily unless it shifts and becomes a threat to South Texas. Welcome to the teeth of the active…


Irene Hits New York City as a Tropical Storm

By John Galt August 28, 2011 – 09:11 ET I smell a whole lot of “I survived Hurricane Irene” with the New York City outline in the background t-shirts heading for the donation bin…. 0900 EDT update from the NHC: 000 WTNT64 KNHC 281302 TCUAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 900 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011 …CENTER OF IRENE MOVES OVER NEW YORK CITY… REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THAT THE CENTER…


8/27 Hurricane Irene: Cat 1 winds down to 80 mph-Heading Back into the Atlantic

By John Galt UPDATED 8/27 22:53 – No update yet from the NHC but the 0500 news will be more important. In the mean time, here’s the NYC radar…. UPDATED 8/27 17:00 – Instead of burying it below, here is the latest update as the storm is set to emerge back into the Atlantic and possibly get a little bit more energy and fuel to increase the storm strength slightly overnight. 000 WTNT34 KNHC 272055 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 500 PM…


7th Tropical Storm of Season forms: Bermuda meet Gert

By John Galt August 14, 2011 – 15:20 ET The seventh named storm of the season has formed but Gert is no threat to the US and more like an afternoon annoyance to the well prepared citizens of Bermuda. Enjoy the wind and rain my friends and listeners on the Rock. This will be the only thread on the storm and advisory I shall post, and as usual, the NHC satellite photos will update automatically. And the infrared version: Here is the most recent advisory from the NHC: 000 WTNT22 KNHC…


8/4 0500 ET Tropical Storm Emily is driving forecasters nuts

By John Galt August 4, 2011 Here we go again boys and girls as 91L grew up while I was on the air. The storm appears to be somewhat more interesting now with the path but model forecasts are still way to early to be precise. 8/4 1700ET update:  And just like that, poof, it’s gone…. Satellite photos will update automatically… Infrared view: Tracking Map/Watches/Warnings from the NHC:   From the Southwest Florida Water Management District model page: (CLICK TO ENLARGE/REDUCE) From Colorado State University’s model page: (CLICK TO ENLARGE/REDUCE) LATEST…



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