by John Galt June 6, 2013 21:00 ET This will probably be the final update on this storm as by this time tomorrow it will probably be extra-tropical and not much of a storm by the time it reaches the Mid-Atlantic states….2000 ET advisory posted at the bottom of this posting… Breaking news 6/6 1730 ET: The NHC has renumbered the Invest and declared it Tropical Storm Andrea. We’ll update these pages at new data is posted by the US Navy and National Hurricane…
by John Galt May 24, 2013 19:00 ET Nothing like the classics. However, I don’t think the hurricane season this year is any different than any recent years as Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell.com has been so accurately stating that the North Atlantic is in a 1940′s-1950′s type of cycle with increased activity. Imagine that. It wasn’t caused by Algore inspired globalist warming. With that brief political statement, here is my forecast based on some back of the napkin, dartboard, and personal experience…
by John Galt October 24, 2012 17:00 ET —- UPDATE 10/25 23:00 ET — Just unbelievable. This storm has all of the makings of one of the most historic storms to hit the U.S. mainland since records have been kept. As of this update, the storm has made some shifts that were unexpected but appears to be reorganizing before it intensifies just before landfall somewhere between the Delmarva region up to Cape Cod. Should the models continue to verify and the system…
by John Galt August 21, 2012 17:55 ET UPDATED 08.26.12 11:15 ET Ruh-Roh! New Orleans is now firmly entrenched in the cone of death and if this sucker gets its act together, watch out! I hope all of my friends, especially Doc who survived Katrina in Mississippi are able to hunker down as this storm could intensify rapidly. Full update below and sorry gang, better y’all than us, we really don’t need the rain along with the wind!!! Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell.com…
by John Galt August 1, 2012 19:25 ET Updated 8/2 1700 ET: Tropical Storm Ernesto has formed per the NHC. Updates are below. Here we go gang and the long term models and forecast could indicate trouble for the Gulf of Mexico potentially within a week or so. 8/1/12 19:25 ET: Ugh. Welcome to August and the start of the peak of the hurricane season. I’ll use this thread to maintain the updates as it strengthens into Tropical Storm…
by John Galt June 23, 2012 16:15 ET 6/25 10:55 ET: AND NOW, I’m in the Tropical Storm Warning area. But this is a gully washer where rain is just dumping on us non-stop. 6/24 16:45: At least NOW I feel like I’m part of the Hurricane Season with the Tropical Storm Watch extended throughout my area. See details below with the latest advisory packages. 6/24 1500 ET: I’m just sayin’…. 6/24 10:59 ET- It would appear the GFS…
by John Galt June 19, 2012 16:55 ET ********* UPDATED 06.21.12 17:40 ET ******** It only lasted about 6 hours or so as a hurricane but it claims the honor of being the first of the season… FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 212033 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012 500 PM AST THU JUN 21 2012 …CHRIS BEGINS TO WEAKEN…NOW A TROPICAL STORM… SUMMARY…
by John Galt May 25, 2012 23:30 ET Sigh. And it is not even the start of hurricane season. As usual, satellite and NHC graphics update automatically. This looks like it could become a LONG season again for those of us in Hurricane Alley. SUB-TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY #1 000 WTNT32 KNHC 260242 TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 …SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN…
by John Galt May 20, 2012 07:00 ET In what can only be described with the word “ugh” as in here we go again, the first tropical storm of the season has formed off of the coast of South Carolina. Alberto is the earliest tropical storm to form since 2008 and almost three weeks before the official start of the hurricane season. With that little gem of good news, a reminder that the satellite photos and graphics from the NHC update themselves automatically, model…
By John Galt December 30, 2011 07:50 ET Buckle up. 2012 is almost here. Last year I was so-so in my predictions and for 2012 I probably will be also. If you are meek put on your Depends for this show or just assume the fetal position when the theme music stops. In the first half hour I’ll cover the news of the day, the financial news and then begin the prognostications which cover geopolitics, sports, U.S. politics, the economy, weather, and whatever else I…
By John Galt November 8, 2011 17:45 This will be the only update I post on Tropical Storm Sean (formerly sub-tropical) which is set to impact Bermuda tomorrow. One thing for certain; even though the U.S. has escaped a direct hit from a major storm this has been one heck of an active season. Hopefully this will be the end of it. Satellite photos will update automatically from NOAA: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ NCAR/SWFMUD MODEL PLOTS ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ (click to enlarge/reduce charts) +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ TROPICAL STORM ADVISORIES +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 000…
By John Galt October 27, 2011 05:30 And that’s why these suckers are so hard to forecast. Cancun gets wet. The U.S. gets zilch. Storm cancel. This will be the final update on this thread barring a radical shift in the storm. October 26, 2011 17:45 Needless to say, tons of rain, a breeze (30-60 mph) and alcohol will not stop Fantasy Fest. In fact, it might enhance it. Models are now updated below, it has fizzled somewhat so let’s pray no one gets hurt.…
By John Galt September 24, 2011 17:15 No further updates other than this entry as this storm is projected to become a hurricane then fizzle in the North Atlantic as a fish. The fascinating storyline though is that the season is still quite active and running far above the averages. Let’s hope this doesn’t mean October and November mean a lot of action for those of us in the Southeastern U.S. Satellite photos will update automatically from NOAA: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ NCAR/SWFMUD MODEL PLOTS ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^…
By John Galt September 23, 05:15 She looks like she’s fading fast and no further updates after this morning’s advisory will be posted on this storm. September 22, 2011 05:00 She looks like she’s trying to get more organized but shear is strong and the probability of a recurve out to sea via Bermuda is growing stronger. We’ll check this again tonight at 17:00 ET. September 21, 2011 05:00 This one is forecast to be impacted by massive shear so it may not amount…
By John Galt September 12, 2011 08:55 This will be the final update. Advisory is below. Storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. September 11, 2011 08:30 She’s getting her act together but after a trip through Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands it does not look like it will be a threat except possibly to Bermuda as a Category 1 hurricane. September 10, 2011 08:00 Latest report is looking like this could become a fizzle soon so let’s up. Discussion…
By John Galt September 9, 20111 05:10 Nate is starting to look better and appears to be a Mexico storm thus this will be my last update unless there is a dramatic shift in the models or upper air patterns. September 8, 2011 15:45 This storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. despite the apparent weird model run amok during the last run. Updates will only occur once daily unless it shifts and becomes a threat to South Texas. Welcome…
By John Galt September 7, 2011 07:10- Since this storm is behaving and will recurve back out to sea, this will be the final update on it unless there is a sudden change in direction. Last updates from NHC in this posting below. If you wish to follow the storm further, please consult the NHC website. September 5, 2011 17:25- Another major hurricane but thankfully this is looking as if it will recurve out to sea. I’ll continue to update until it’s no longer a…
By John Galt September 2, 2011 – 17:50 ET Now that I’ve rejoined the 21st Century, the hurricane season accelerates. Pray for New Orleans folks and pray this storm does not stall. Usual and full package below. Satellite photos from NOAA will update automatically along with track updates from the NHC: ************************************************ NHC ADVISORIES ************************************************ 000 WTNT33 KNHC 022051 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011 …TROPICAL STORM LEE DRIFTING…
By John Galt August 28, 2011 – 09:15 ET This is a very minimal tropical storm with little threat to life and limb thus this will be the only posting on this system. The Bermuda government has issued a tropical storm warning and that should be about the extent of the threat. The satellite photo’s below exhibit why this is such a minimal threat: NHC advisory #1 (only one I’ll be posting): 000 WTNT31 KNHC 281213 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOSE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1…CORRECTED…
By John Galt August 28, 2011 – 09:11 ET I smell a whole lot of “I survived Hurricane Irene” with the New York City outline in the background t-shirts heading for the donation bin…. 0900 EDT update from the NHC: 000 WTNT64 KNHC 281302 TCUAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 900 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011 …CENTER OF IRENE MOVES OVER NEW YORK CITY… REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE…
By John Galt August 19, 2011 Only update for this storm folks as it is a Central American event. Pray for those poor people as it could get ugly with mudslides and flooding. 000 WTNT33 KNHC 192353 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 …AIRCRAFT FINDS HARVEY JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS… SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…16.1N 84.6W ABOUT 130 MI…210 KM E OF…
By John Galt August 14, 2011 – 15:20 ET The seventh named storm of the season has formed but Gert is no threat to the US and more like an afternoon annoyance to the well prepared citizens of Bermuda. Enjoy the wind and rain my friends and listeners on the Rock. This will be the only thread on the storm and advisory I shall post, and as usual, the NHC satellite photos will update automatically. And the infrared version: Here is the most recent advisory…
By John Galt August 4, 2011 Here we go again boys and girls as 91L grew up while I was on the air. The storm appears to be somewhat more interesting now with the path but model forecasts are still way to early to be precise. 8/4 1700ET update: And just like that, poof, it’s gone…. Satellite photos will update automatically… Infrared view: Tracking Map/Watches/Warnings from the NHC: From the Southwest Florida Water Management District model page: (CLICK TO ENLARGE/REDUCE) From Colorado State University’s…
By John Galt July 30, 2011 It would appear that July might mew out like a kitten with a very weak storm named Don, but with the activity picking up in the Atlantic basin August could be roaring in like 2005. I personally hope not because who wants to go through that again. From the National Hurricane Center in Miami: (CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ENLARGE or REDUCE SIZE) This will probably be the last satellite photo for this thread we’ll see today before I…
By John Galt July 28, 2011 Pictures will refresh automatically from the original sources. LATEST NEXRAD RADAR FROM BROWNSVILLE, TX RADAR: 1600 CDT ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:000 WTNT34 KNHC 292035 TCPAT4BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DON ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042011 400 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011…CENTER OF DON APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTH TEXAS…RAINBANDS SPREADING ONSHORE…SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…26.9N 96.2W ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS ABOUT 105 MI…170 KM…
By John Galt July 18, 2011 ******* If it moves further out to see with no indication of moving towards the North, coverage will cease at 1700 tomorrow if it is no threat to the U.S. ******* Tropical Storm Bret, Public Advisory 5 1700 EDT: 000 WTNT32 KNHC 182056 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 500 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 …BRET STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS… SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100…
By John Galt June 5, 2011 This invest appears to be gathering steam, let’s hope it just remains a blob of rain. From the NHC: Tropical Weather Outlook:
By John Galt June 1, 2011 Well, it might as well start off with a band, besides, we need the rain. More info and graphics at Weather Underground. And from the NHC:
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