The Fed Will Cut 50 bps But Trigger an Eventual Equity Disaster

This Wednesday the bulls will be all jacked up, sipping their Zimas and prepping for a massive market rally after Federal Reserve Chairman steps up […]

9/5 NFP Preview: A Bohemian Rhapsody Report

Nothing really matters, anyone can seeNothing really mattersNothing really matters to me Life and BLS data tis nothing more than a Bohemian Rhapsody and without […]

The Populist Threat to America’s Economy

In ancient days, to avoid the wrath of a Rome, the wealthy would often offer tribute in many forms as a sign of submission and […]

IF You Thought the FOMC Was a Snoozefest, Here Comes Nonfarm Payrolls

Wake up you heathens! It’s the most important employment report in the history of mankind. Don’t believe me? I’ve heard rumors that Federal Reserve Chairman […]

ADP: A Canary in the Coal Mine or Just More Noise?

Earlier today the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) monthly payroll employment report was announced at 8:15 a.m. ET. While the majority of Wall Street and anyone […]

06.06.25 NFP and Employment Predictions With a Touch of History

The hoopla surrounding the great Elon Musk v. Donald Trump social media conflict seems to be calming down this morning so let’s take a moment […]

The Richmond Fed Survey Screams Stagflation

I just wonder if they cleared that with old Jay before they released it. For the record, so my readers know that this author is […]

The Scariest Economic Easter Chart of them All

When I first saw a different version of the chart below posted by Torsten Slok in his “The Daily Spark” email newsletter, I immediately had […]

Select your Sentiment Indicator and Data With Care

Because it doesn’t always means what one thinks it does Once again, the media creates the narrative and Friday’s substantial drop in the stock market […]

3/7 NFP Outlook: Big Nothing or Big Trouble?

At 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics issues it’s latest greatest act of fiction with a guesstimate of how many jobs […]

11.01.24 Non-Farm Payrolls Guess: Pulp Fiction

The recent data series from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reads like a paperback romance novel with […]

The FOMC Meeting this Week: Stagflation or Crisis?

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets this week and faces the ultimate decision regarding the creature they have unleashed on the global economy: Do […]

The Data Mirage from the BLS Continues

Over the past few decades, these pages and in some of the commentary I have offered elsewhere has been somewhat harsh analyzing the data emanating […]

NFP Preview with a Warning

Ladies and gents, this has been the week of circus clown performers and data as earnings roll in on top of pump and dump artists […]