Do NOT Be Surprised If….

WE see a drop of $20,000 in one day in Bitcoin. And at or close to the same time a drop of over $200 in […]

The Last Possible Week of the Government Shutdown

If one is following these pages for gambling predictions, political predictions (yeah I picked Cuomo while intoxicated last December to win), or even sport wagering […]

Is Gold $4000 Next?

On December 29, 2024, after careful consideration and perhaps several glasses of Bowmore 15 year old scotch, these pages made the following prediction regarding gold […]

The Fed Will Cut 50 bps But Trigger an Eventual Equity Disaster

This Wednesday the bulls will be all jacked up, sipping their Zimas and prepping for a massive market rally after Federal Reserve Chairman steps up […]

No Virginia, Inflation is Not Declining

However, yes Virginia, there is a Santa Powell! The good news for all the little baby bull boys and girls out there is that Santa […]

President Trump’s Firing of Fed Governor Cook Might Backfire

Tonight, in what can only be called a shocking move, President Trump put down the Diet Coke, apparently, and went fully leaded which of course […]

Trump’s Stagflation Nightmare Accelerates with Powell’s Folly

As someone who studied history and lived through the late 1970s in high school then into college, it might seem like I am now once […]

Jackson Hole Marks the Start of America’s Financial Market Insanity

Way back in ancient history, okay, actually on July 13, 2025, these pages published the following article: Will Trump’s War on the Fed Crash the […]

The Federal Reserve’s Binary Choice Means Pain

There are points in economic cycles where the outcome of any economic decision made becomes a binary choice. Unfortunately for the American public, the upcoming […]

How Retailers Like Walmart Pass on Tariffs to the Public

After listening to Peter Navarro bark like a trained seal on Bloomberg Television this afternoon, I fear this brief thread is more necessary than ever. […]

FOMC Day: Jay Powell is Cooking Up the FUTburgers

Yes, I know, I know, the title is corny and just what is a futburger? More on that at the end of this piece but […]

Trump’s War on Jay Powell Hits a Bessent Speed Bump

The Wall Street Journal broke some news on Saturday afternoon which appears to have created a dilemma for the get rid of Powell at any […]

Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell to Congress: No Cuts for You

In about ten minutes from now, Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell will present the following prepared remarks to the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House […]

FOMC Statement: Please Don’t Smell This

Before I engage in my usual dissection of the bull crap session, here is the actual Federal Reserve Open Market Committee statement straight from their […]

Another FOMC Nothingburger, or Is It?

The financial media is all perplexed to read today’s Federal Reserve Open Market Committee statement as their appears to be a whiff of stagflation in […]