9/5 NFP Preview: A Bohemian Rhapsody Report

Nothing really matters, anyone can seeNothing really mattersNothing really matters to me Life and BLS data tis nothing more than a Bohemian Rhapsody and without […]

07.03.25 Nonfarm Payrolls: The Gig, er, Gag is On Us

This morning’s nonfarm payrolls report wasn’t that much of a shock if anyone read the previously published article about the predicted numbers for today. Granted […]

07.03.25 Non-Farm Payroll Previewarama

For the record, if one is not already getting prepared to clean the smoker, load the cooler, and prepare to smoke some quality dead pig […]

06.06.25 NFP and Employment Predictions With a Touch of History

The hoopla surrounding the great Elon Musk v. Donald Trump social media conflict seems to be calming down this morning so let’s take a moment […]

3/7 NFP Outlook: Big Nothing or Big Trouble?

At 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics issues it’s latest greatest act of fiction with a guesstimate of how many jobs […]

01/10/25 Nonfarm Payrolls Prediction: Pain

There is this weird twisted theory in existence since 1988 that no matter how stupid the US equity, real estate, and bond markets get, the […]

11.01.24 Non-Farm Payrolls Guess: Pulp Fiction

The recent data series from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reads like a paperback romance novel with […]

Is it Data, Methodology, or Just Propaganda

For those who are not part of the so called FinTwit (Financial Twitter/X), political, or economic blogosphere a very important debate is raging regarding not […]

The Data Mirage from the BLS Continues

Over the past few decades, these pages and in some of the commentary I have offered elsewhere has been somewhat harsh analyzing the data emanating […]

The Pre-Recession Unemployment Myth

The usual suspects are out touting their book as the “there can not be a recession when the economy is this strong” parade continues on […]