One year ago, here was the headline on these very pages: The Federal Reserve panicked on June 15, 2022 and raised rates 75 bps in […]
Tag: JAY POWELL
The Fed’s CPI Problem
On Wednesday, April 12th, the BLS will release the latest data set for the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) which consensus seems to think will be […]
Real Inflation as Reported via PCE was Far Worse than Reported
Another week passes, another rally in make believe land, and another inflation report being pumped by the Bubblevision mafia as “better than expected” as per […]
FOMC Today: The Four Horseman of the Bondpocalypse Ride
Today will be a historic event for those of us who are both historians and economic geeks. The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee reveals the […]
The Banking Crisis is A LOT Worse than Reported Earlier
Now you can panic. Just about 3 hours ago, I reported on the letter from the mid-sized banks to the FDCI basically asking for a […]
The CPI Reading for Inflation Should Come in Hot Today
I am standing by most of my December 31, 2022 prediction where I stated the following: -The Federal Reserve conducts a shocking 0.50% rate increase […]
Bank Run Monday
Despite the extraordinary actions by the Federal Reserve and FDIC last night, the idea that shareholders and bondholders will be wiped out due to this […]
Oops, Something Else Broke
So steepening the yield curve probably isn’t such a hot idea even if it’s only 12 bps thus far: And the US Treasuries are watching […]
FDIC Sunday?? Signature Bank of NY Closed by Regulators
The State of NY in coordination with the New York Federal Reserve has closed Signature Bank, the once free-wheeling crypto bank. From CNBC: Regulators close […]
The Media Reaction to Silicon Valley Bank is a Sight to Behold
The headlines from the “financial” media were screaming loud and hot yesterday creating the type of panic and hyperbole unseen since the latter days of […]
A Great Point and Warning from One of My Favorite Banking Analysts (Video)
This is the first time I’ve listened to one of Jack Farley’s interviews and commentaries, so my readers will get a chance to hear this […]
Can You Smell the Panic: Treasuries Rally in Flight to Safety, Bitcoin Collapses
Silvergate goes Tango Uniform last night. Silicon Valley Bank is hanging on by its fingernails. Jay Powell claims he’s just doing his job. Maybe somebody […]
One Chart to Sum Up the Real CPI Month over Month
Ummm, yeah, “it’s contained” or whatever. From the St. Louis Fed Economic Data, month over month percentage change in CPI-U not seasonally adjusted: So much […]
Happy Fed Day – Predictions, Flops, Drops, and Slop
Welcome to B.O.H.I.C.A day ladies and gents. I have not been offering commentary on the markets because the lack of logic in posting commentary on […]