The Fed Will Cut 50 bps But Trigger an Eventual Equity Disaster

This Wednesday the bulls will be all jacked up, sipping their Zimas and prepping for a massive market rally after Federal Reserve Chairman steps up […]

Trump’s Stagflation Nightmare Accelerates with Powell’s Folly

As someone who studied history and lived through the late 1970s in high school then into college, it might seem like I am now once […]

The Only Chart From Friday’s BLS Data You Need to See

I present this with little comment other than pointing out the dates. Yes, it is that obvious and if one was around for all of […]

IF You Thought the FOMC Was a Snoozefest, Here Comes Nonfarm Payrolls

Wake up you heathens! It’s the most important employment report in the history of mankind. Don’t believe me? I’ve heard rumors that Federal Reserve Chairman […]

06.06.25 NFP and Employment Predictions With a Touch of History

The hoopla surrounding the great Elon Musk v. Donald Trump social media conflict seems to be calming down this morning so let’s take a moment […]

Another FOMC Nothingburger, or Is It?

The financial media is all perplexed to read today’s Federal Reserve Open Market Committee statement as their appears to be a whiff of stagflation in […]

3/7 NFP Outlook: Big Nothing or Big Trouble?

At 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics issues it’s latest greatest act of fiction with a guesstimate of how many jobs […]

America’s 80/20 Recession

The “Pareto Principle” or 80/20 Rule is a well established theory which can be applied many obvious sciences, or as in the case of economics, […]

11.01.24 Non-Farm Payrolls Guess: Pulp Fiction

The recent data series from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reads like a paperback romance novel with […]

BLS Delivers Another Masterful Work of Propaganda

Last night when this author penned a piece predicting what would be a normalized estimation for the non-farm payrolls report, there was little indication of […]

Look for a Potentially Shocking NFP Number Friday

Normally this author does not dabble much in the employment picture until the severity of the crisis is upon the United States. However, we are […]

The FOMC Meeting this Week: Stagflation or Crisis?

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets this week and faces the ultimate decision regarding the creature they have unleashed on the global economy: Do […]

The Economy is Sinking so Follow the Smart Money

During the past week, there were two striking television segments which caught my attention regarding the financial markets and the coming collision between higher rates […]

The Pre-Recession Unemployment Myth

The usual suspects are out touting their book as the “there can not be a recession when the economy is this strong” parade continues on […]

Today the Federal Reserve Blunders Again

There is a palpable air of panic in the air as the arrogance of the Federal Reserve banksters once again becomes obvious to even the […]