HURRICANE

Hurricane Matthew: 10.9 05:00 ET – FINAL UPDATE – Post-Tropical Cyclone is FINALLY moving Out to Sea

by John Galt September 29, 2016 16:25 ET 10.09.16 – 07:45 ET – UPDATE It has been a while since we’ve had a storm which has cause this much of a problem for this many people and all I have to say is GOOD RIDDANCE. This will be the final update as it is now a post-tropical or hybrid storm and moving out to sea. 10.08.16 – 07:15 ET – UPDATE Newest advisory is below. The storm has weakened but the tornado risk increased as WECT just reported: Original TORNADO WARNING…



Tropical Storm Karl: Not looking so good Now but Still Projected to become a Hurricane

by John Galt September 16, 2016 04:55 ET This is one of those storms everyone should watch closely especially as it gets close to 60 degrees west longitude as it has all of the makings of a powerful Cape Verde hurricane in the classic sense. In the mean time, here is the usual advisory package until the NHC determines the exact path of the storm next week. LATEST NHC ADVISORY ========================================== 000 WTNT32 KNHC 181453 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100…


TS Hermine: 09.03 1300 – Tropical Storm Warnings From Long Island to Boston

by John Galt August 28, 2016 16:55 ET 09.02.16 – 18:30 ET – Just ugh. 09.02.16 – 17:00 ET – Boy oh boy oh boy. If this recent model run of the ECMWF (Euro) confirms, life is going to be VERY interesting in NJ and New York City: Tropical Storm Warnings have now been extended up to Sandy Hook, NJ with watches continuing for New York City and Long Island. So far the forecast does not anticipate the storm turning back into NJ/NY but the model runs from 1 week ago…


Hurricane Lester: Hurricane Watch Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe

by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:30 ET 09.01.16 21:00 ET – As the West Coast of Florida gets lashed by Hurricane Hermine, the Hawaiian Islands are preparing for a possible double strike this time from Hurricane Lester. If the track verifies the storm’s strong side will stay away from the islands. More info in tomorrow’s updates. ********************** This has to be the weirdest hurricane season I’ve seen in a while and that’s after surviving 2004-2005 in Florida. The “m” letter storm Madeline will hit the big island of Hawaii within…


Hurricane Madeline: Hurricane WARNING Up for the Big Island of Hawaii

  by John Galt August 28, 2016 12:20 ET 08.30.16 20:35 ET – Just a heads up as storm number 1 approaches the big island of Hawaii as a strong Category 2 hurricane. Good luck out there all my friends! ************************************ 08.29.16 15:35 ET – FYI upgraded to a hurricane today… ******************************** The Central Pacific Hurricane Center is issuing advisories for Tropical Storm Madeline which appears to be heading directly for the big island and will drop large amounts of rain, especially in the mountainous regions. Some meteorologists have speculated that…


Hurricane Earl: 5th Named Storm Comes Ashore in Belize

by John Galt August 2, 2016 20:30 ET 08/04 19:45 ET – With the storm now dying out over Mexico, the update below from the NHC will be the final update on this thread. And into the busy part of the Hurricane season we go. Hopefully most of these storms remain Tropical Storms or minimal Hurricanes but don’t kid yourself, they can do quite a bit of damage also. I shall keep this thread ongoing and updated until the storm approaches final landfall in Mexico or Belize as this storm poses…


HURRICANE Joaquin: It’s a Fish, Buh, Bye!

by John Galt September 29, 2015 05:00 ET 10/03/15 16:00 ET: 17:00 ET – 09.29 – Let’s hope this new track verifies as it indicates it might turn into a fish… —————————————————————————————- Here we go again gang. Let’s hope this does not turn into a Sandy type of situation but this is the time of year for that type of storms and the intensity forecasting is very imprecise. At this point in time however, if the short term models are any indication, there is a chance that once the storm turns…


08.23 0900 ET: Hurricane Danny 0800 Advisory Posted (Updated)

by John Galt August 18, 2015 17:10 ET Here we go again. In this quiet El Nino depressed hurricane season, the first major threat to the Caribbean islands has appeared with Tropical Storm Danny which just formed in the Eastern Atlantic. Once again, here are the standard photos, model runs, and advisories which will update automatically as the websites associated with them. UPDATE AUGUST 18, 2015 20:00 ET: Man, I hope this 14 day GFS model does not verify. If so, it is going to suck to live where I do….


07.04.14 Hurricane Arthur: My Only Yawnadvisory

by John Galt July 4, 2014 11:20 ET Gang, I apologize for not having my usual posting of pics, warnings, doom, death, destruction, or other terror from a, gasp, “hurricane” but my lack of activity this week was due to some meat world concerns about my economic future thus kept me from my appointed rounds. Hurricane Arthur sucked for those impacted by the storm but it was not the big deal the mainstream media attempted to make it out to be this time. The next storm, that could be another story….


Tropical Storm Chantal: STORM CANCEL

 UPDATED July 10, 2013 20:55 ET: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 102035 TCPAT3 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 500 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 …CHANTAL DEGENERATED INTO A WAVE… …COULD STILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS… SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…16.5N 73.7W ABOUT 230 MI…370 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 260 MI…415 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 23 MPH…37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1012 MB…29.88…


2013 Official JohnGaltFLA Hurricane Forecast: We are all Going to Die

  by John Galt May 24, 2013 19:00 ET     Nothing like the classics. However, I don’t think the hurricane season this year is any different than any recent years as Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell.com  has been so accurately stating that the North Atlantic is in a 1940’s-1950’s type of cycle with increased activity. Imagine that. It wasn’t caused by Algore inspired globalist warming. With that brief political statement, here is my forecast based on some back of the napkin, dartboard, and personal experience analysis: 27 named storms 13 Hurricanes…


Time to Score this Blogger’s 2012 Predictions (Ugh)

  by John Galt December 30, 2012 15:00 ET   So how did I do?     First, unlike many bloggers, prognosticators, commentators, and hosts, I will refer to my predictions for this year that is about to end by reminding everyone they can see my mistaken and correct predictions of doom in this thread from my radio show and in this thread:   JohnGaltFLA.com Predictions for 2012   Let’s break this down, section by section and score it by +1 for correct, -1 for wrong, and of course “0” for…


Hurricane Sandy: A Historical Storm in the making for the U.S. East Coast

  by John Galt October 24, 2012 17:00 ET   —- UPDATE 10/25 23:00 ET —   Just unbelievable. This storm has all of the makings of one of the most historic storms to hit the U.S. mainland since records have been kept. As of this update, the storm has made some shifts that were unexpected but appears to be reorganizing before it intensifies just before landfall somewhere between the Delmarva region up to Cape Cod. Should the models continue to verify and the system become as strong as a few…


Tropical Storm Isaac: Heads up AL, MS, and NEW ORLEANS!!! (Updated 08.26 1100 ET)

by John Galt August 21, 2012 17:55 ET   UPDATED 08.26.12 11:15 ET   Ruh-Roh! New Orleans is now firmly entrenched in the cone of death and if this sucker gets its act together, watch out! I hope all of my friends, especially Doc who survived Katrina in Mississippi are able to hunker down as this storm could intensify rapidly. Full update below and sorry gang, better y’all than us, we really don’t need the rain along with the wind!!!   Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell.com just tweeted a concern about 1947:…


Tropical Storm Ernesto Forms in Eastern Caribbean (updated 8/3 1700)

  by John Galt August 1, 2012 19:25 ET   Updated 8/2 1700 ET:   Tropical Storm Ernesto has formed per the NHC. Updates are below.   Here we go gang and the long term models and forecast could indicate trouble for the Gulf of Mexico potentially within a week or so.   8/1/12 19:25 ET:   Ugh. Welcome to August and the start of the peak of the hurricane season. I’ll use this thread to maintain the updates as it strengthens into Tropical Storm Ernesto then Hurricane Ernesto over the…


Tropical Storm Debby: T.S. Warnings/Watches Issued for Florida Panhandle/West Coast

  by John Galt June 23, 2012 16:15 ET   6/25 10:55 ET: AND NOW, I’m in the Tropical Storm Warning area. But this is a gully washer where rain is just dumping on us non-stop.   6/24 16:45: At least NOW I feel like I’m part of the Hurricane Season with the Tropical Storm Watch extended throughout my area. See details below with the latest advisory packages.   6/24 1500 ET: I’m just sayin’….     6/24 10:59 ET- It would appear the GFS model is winning. The West Coast…


JohnGaltFLA.com Predictions for 2012

JohnGaltFLA Predictions for 2012   By John Galt January 1, 2012 – 17:00 ET I. Geopolitical Predictions          1. The United States constructs a new large military base in Columbia near the Venezuelan border in anticipation of the collapse of the Chavez regime. The new focus on South America is seen as a desire to refocus American foreign policy as the Middle East rejects any further interference from the United States. Columbia welcomes the action as it intertwines the U.S. into their internal conflicts and guarantees economic cooperation as their oil…


12.30 V of Galt: Predictions 2012 Live and in Color

By John Galt December 30, 2011 07:50 ET Buckle up. 2012 is almost here. Last year I was so-so in my predictions and for 2012 I probably will be also. If you are meek put on your Depends for this show or just assume the fetal position when the theme music stops. In the first half hour I’ll cover the news of the day, the financial news and then begin the prognostications which cover geopolitics, sports, U.S. politics, the economy, weather, and whatever else I feel like. There are no guarantees,…


10/27 0500 Hurricane Rina Update: Storm Cancel

By John Galt October 27, 2011 05:30 And that’s why these suckers are so hard to forecast. Cancun gets wet. The U.S. gets zilch. Storm cancel. This will be the final update on this thread barring a radical shift in the storm. October 26, 2011 17:45 Needless to say, tons of rain, a breeze (30-60 mph) and alcohol will not stop Fantasy Fest. In fact, it might enhance it. Models are now updated below, it has fizzled somewhat so let’s pray no one gets hurt. October 26, 2011 07:50 So far,…


Tropical Storm Philippe: No threat to the CONUS but Storm #17 in a busy season

By John Galt September 24, 2011 17:15 No further updates other than this entry as this storm is projected to become a hurricane then fizzle in the North Atlantic as a fish. The fascinating storyline though is that the season is still quite active and running far above the averages. Let’s hope this doesn’t mean October and November mean a lot of action for those of us in the Southeastern U.S.   Satellite photos will update automatically from NOAA:   ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ NCAR/SWFMUD MODEL PLOTS ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ (click to enlarge/reduce charts) +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ TROPICAL…


9/21 Tropical Storm Ophelia: A weak storm but worth watching

By John Galt September 23, 05:15 She looks like she’s fading fast and no further updates after this morning’s advisory will be posted on this storm. September 22, 2011 05:00 She looks like she’s trying to get more organized but shear is strong and the probability of a recurve out to sea via Bermuda is growing stronger. We’ll check this again tonight at 17:00 ET.   September 21, 2011 05:00 This one is forecast to be impacted by massive shear so it may not amount to much of anything if it…



Tropical Storm Maria: Getting her Act Together finally

By John Galt September 12, 2011 08:55 This will be the final update. Advisory is below. Storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. September 11, 2011 08:30 She’s getting her act together but after a trip through Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands it does not look like it will be a threat except possibly to Bermuda as a Category 1 hurricane. September 10, 2011 08:00 Latest report is looking like this could become a fizzle soon so let’s up. Discussion and public advisory updated below. September…


Tropical Storm Nate: Soon to sip some Tequila?

By John Galt September 9, 20111 05:10 Nate is starting to look better and appears to be a Mexico storm thus this will be my last update unless there is a dramatic shift in the models or upper air patterns.   September 8, 2011 15:45 This storm does not appear to be a threat to the U.S. despite the apparent weird model run amok during the last run. Updates will only occur once daily unless it shifts and becomes a threat to South Texas. Welcome to the teeth of the active…


The September Calender of Potential Doom & Disaster by Date and Event (Updated)

By John Galt September 7, 2011 – 00:50 ET In even the most “normal” of times, September can turn out to be an extremely turbulent month for economies and world equity markets without warning. This time around, we have plenty of warning and an actual schedule which indicates trip wires and land mines which could bring the entire world to its knees with little warning. While this list may not be complete, if my readers have an entry I miss, please post it as a comment and I’ll add it to…


Hurricane Katia: 9/7 0500 Update, down to 90 mph, starting to weaken and recurve out to sea

By John Galt September 7, 2011 07:10- Since this storm is behaving and will recurve back out to sea, this will be the final update on it unless there is a sudden change in direction. Last updates from NHC in this posting below. If you wish to follow the storm further, please consult the NHC website. September 5, 2011 17:25- Another major hurricane but thankfully this is looking as if it will recurve out to sea. I’ll continue to update until it’s no longer a threat to the U.S. New models…


Is Irene the Economy Killer of 2011?

By John Galt August 24, 2011 – 22:30 ET Sorry to sound cruel to those who have endured or those about to be engulfed by this monster storm, but the question has to be asked. The storms of 2004-2005 were thought to be a major contributing factor to the ultimate decline and fall of the U.S. economy in 2007 as Federal government spending and waste went into overdrive after the 2004 Florida hurricane blitz with government stimulus to help our state recover then in 2005 with the post-Katrina and Rita recovery…


8/4 0500 ET Tropical Storm Emily is driving forecasters nuts

By John Galt August 4, 2011 Here we go again boys and girls as 91L grew up while I was on the air. The storm appears to be somewhat more interesting now with the path but model forecasts are still way to early to be precise. 8/4 1700ET update:  And just like that, poof, it’s gone…. Satellite photos will update automatically… Infrared view: Tracking Map/Watches/Warnings from the NHC:   From the Southwest Florida Water Management District model page: (CLICK TO ENLARGE/REDUCE) From Colorado State University’s model page: (CLICK TO ENLARGE/REDUCE) LATEST…


Tropical Season Heats Up: Invest 91L 100% chance of development

By John Galt July 30, 2011 It would appear that July might mew out like a kitten with a very weak storm named Don, but with the activity picking up in the Atlantic basin August could be roaring in like 2005. I personally hope not because who wants to go through that again. From the National Hurricane Center in Miami: (CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ENLARGE or REDUCE SIZE) This will probably be the last satellite photo for this thread we’ll see today before I start a Tropical Storm/Hurricane Emily thread:…


Tropical Storm Don: Tropical Storm Warnings Issued for Texas

By John Galt July 28, 2011 Pictures will refresh automatically from the original sources. LATEST NEXRAD RADAR  FROM BROWNSVILLE, TX RADAR:   1600 CDT ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:000 WTNT34 KNHC 292035 TCPAT4BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DON ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042011 400 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011…CENTER OF DON APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTH TEXAS…RAINBANDS SPREADING ONSHORE…SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…26.9N 96.2W ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS ABOUT 105 MI…170 KM NE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED…



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6/1 Voice of Galt: Riding the Storm out-Economically and Hurricane Season Show

By John Galt June 1, 2011 All is calm? Uh, I don’t think so… The economy is a disaster. Hurricane season begins today. Are you prepared? Check out this series by clicking on this link from Impact Weather on the errors people make in Hurricane Preparedness. You can download the program by clicking on this link. Or click below to listen to the program here (FYI, compressed to 32K because it was over 2 hours):  



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