A post on X/Twitter earlier today made me do some research because as is my nature, I want to validate any claim or call BS on things that are not true.
The claim by the poster was that the yield curve never un-inverts until a recession has begun. I called bunk on this based on the “modern” era which this historian proclaims is from the post 1987 crash until now.
So here is the data put it into a nice neat graph via Gemini via Google for all to see:
Now while this author is not “clinically” insane, it sure does seem like my memory and active ability to analyze history is pretty damned solid.
Buckle up, the fun is about to start.
