Okay gang, this brief Friday night acknowledgement that even I, Mr. Doom and Gloom, could not have anticipated a crappy report from the newly named […]
Tag: NFP
The Only Chart From Friday’s BLS Data You Need to See
I present this with little comment other than pointing out the dates. Yes, it is that obvious and if one was around for all of […]
August 1st Was a Bizarre Day in US Economic History
First, a minor mea culpa as I missed not by a mile, but by two hundred miles in my forecast fro the Bureau of Labor […]
IF You Thought the FOMC Was a Snoozefest, Here Comes Nonfarm Payrolls
Wake up you heathens! It’s the most important employment report in the history of mankind. Don’t believe me? I’ve heard rumors that Federal Reserve Chairman […]
07.03.25 Nonfarm Payrolls: The Gig, er, Gag is On Us
This morning’s nonfarm payrolls report wasn’t that much of a shock if anyone read the previously published article about the predicted numbers for today. Granted […]
07.03.25 Non-Farm Payroll Previewarama
For the record, if one is not already getting prepared to clean the smoker, load the cooler, and prepare to smoke some quality dead pig […]
ADP: A Canary in the Coal Mine or Just More Noise?
Earlier today the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) monthly payroll employment report was announced at 8:15 a.m. ET. While the majority of Wall Street and anyone […]
The Unemployment Report Wasn’t So Bad; or Was it?
For those that have followed this page for almost twenty years now, one has to understand that I do get fired up and emotional about […]
3/7 NFP Outlook: Big Nothing or Big Trouble?
At 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics issues it’s latest greatest act of fiction with a guesstimate of how many jobs […]
Friday Non-Farm Payrolls Report Preview
While the financial media is going stark raving mad about a company that invests in non-existent profits from a non-physical investment that requires neither actual […]
01/10/25 Nonfarm Payrolls Prediction: Pain
There is this weird twisted theory in existence since 1988 that no matter how stupid the US equity, real estate, and bond markets get, the […]
The Hurricanes Were NOT the Cause of the Bad NFP Report
The media, especially the financial and mainstream media, once again interjected politics to proclaim that the Boeing strike and two major hurricanes hitting the US […]
October 4th Non-Farm Payroll Preview
The first Friday of the month is tomorrow which means of course the Bureau of Labor Statistics gets to release the monthly revisionfest also known […]
Friday Non-Farm Payroll Prediction With a Dash of History
Personal Note: I’ll be in and out over the next week due to my mother’s terminal illness. So if the world ends, I’m sorry but […]
The Smart Money Will Be Right Again
The markets have a weird methodology of warning the world that there are problems with the underlying economy if one listens for the signals. Unfortunately, […]